Media and Turkish experts are trying, in this Saturday, understand the scope of events that are taking place in Egypt. If any part of the press ("Radikal", "Birgun" or "Hürriyet Daily News) focuses on the demands of protesters and denounced the frustration of the Egyptian people against a political situation frozen for too long, Turkish media as a whole remain fairly cautious, and wonder about the political and economic changes taking place in Egypt. The pro-government daily "Zaman" and "Yeni Safak" worried even looting, and report the destruction of two mummies of the famous museum in Tahrir Square. The revolution was led Tunisian jasmine, Turkey, as elsewhere, a debate on political change in the Arab world. The ongoing insurgency in Egypt raises analyzes currently focusing mainly on the geopolitical transformations that the fall of the regime of Hosni Mubarak may entail.
The liberal daily "Radikal" publishes a long interview with the Palestinian journalist Abdul Bari Atwan, editor of "Al Quds al Arabi" (a major Arab newspaper published in London) and also the famous commentator of Qatari television channel Al Jazeera, which said that Egypt, despite its decline in recent years, remains a pivotal country in the Arab world. He said that "any change that occurs in Egypt has repercussions throughout the region." And he adds: "When Egypt began to promote Arab nationalism or socialism, the Arab world has been affected by these trends, "before comparing the country to an elephant who is" heavy "but that" will very quickly when it starts, "and could" take everything in its path. "
is in fact what may concern the Turkish commentators. Their frequent ignorance of Egypt further increased their anxiety. Indeed, although relations between Turkey and Arab countries have experienced a revival, sometimes dramatically, in recent years, the major initiatives of the Turkish diplomacy in the matter did not concern Egypt, but rather states neighbors such as Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, or, on the economic and other countries of the Arabian Peninsula. It must be said that since 2002, Hosni Mubarak looked with great suspicion the political experience of the AKP, first, because it appeared to him as this model of moderate Islamic regime of the Americans call vows to take over from secular regimes of breath, secondly, because it is an experience that could give ideas to the Egyptian opposition. Moreover, the positions of the Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, in respect of Israel since "One Minute" in Davos in 2009, has often excited the Egyptian public, placing the Rais in a more uncomfortable position regarding its relationship with Israel. We remember that during the difficult journey of the caravan "Viva Palestine" (see our issue of January 17, 2010), a year ago, Turkish diplomacy was illustrated at the expense of an Egyptian diplomat who had undertaken to to frame drastically this initiative for Gaza to prevent it provokes reactions from Israel. The clashes, which had objected in particular to Humanitarian Turkish police forces in the Egyptian port of El Arish, had even led members of the AKP, who participated in the caravan, to accuse the Egyptian police to be even "worse" than the Israeli police. Since last fall a strategic partnership between Cairo and Ankara is under development, but the diplomatic rapprochement has all the more quickly that the two countries emerge as regional powers, who may find themselves competing on many issues.
The insurgency situation currently facing Egypt, however, risk undermining sustainable strategic location and status of regional power in this country, reinforcing backlash constantly rising influence of Turkey. This hypothesis will further advantages in Ankara in its relations with Washington. It is indeed likely that Turkey will benefit from this enhanced status of an emerging power and stable country in the region, to admit a little more in the U.S., the flexibility available to it against them now. This development could also bring out the strategic assets of the Turkish candidacy to the EU, especially in the eyes of European countries that opposed to it. France, already taken up by cons- Tunisian jasmine revolution, will have to urgently review its strategic options in the eastern Mediterranean, which so far have spared anachronistic in recent years, Egyptian President spent thirty years in power by giving it a privileged status in addition to co- President of the Union for the Mediterranean (UPM), although they neglected Turkey, denying him a European vocation and by failing to adequately measure its rise on the international stage.
This change should give geostrategic and rejoicing the Turkish experts, but we note it worries them a lot. Country in the heart of a dangerous area, especially between three poles (the Balkans, the Caucasus and the Near East) crossed by conflicts formidable Turkey do feel its neighbors in turmoil. Furthermore, the extension of Tunisian and Egyptian revolutions in other neighboring states (major events demanding the resignation of Prime Minister occurred on Friday, Jordan) could have significant economic consequences for a country that has invested heavily in the Arab world in recent years, including in Egypt ...
JM
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